Marino vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
MAS
1 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
MAR
1 - 2
TOM
44%
30%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
AVI
5 - 1
MAR
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
MAR
2 - 1
CDB
36%
29%
35%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
ATB
2 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
RJA
0 - 0
LEG
53%
26%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
LIN
1 - 0
RJA
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
RJA
1 - 0
TEL
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
PLA
2 - 2
RJA
52%
26%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
RJA
2 - 1
MED
78%
14%
7%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |