Marino vs Las Palmas At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
HUR
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
COM
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 4
CDT
31%
27%
42%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Las Palmas At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
HUR
2 - 2
LPA
14%
23%
64%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LPA
3 - 0
COM
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VTZ
0 - 1
LPA
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LPA
4 - 2
CDM
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SPB
4 - 0
LPA
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |