Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Marino vs Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
FUE
1 - 2
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
CDT
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SDT
0 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 1
VIC
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
FUE
1 - 2
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CDV
0 - 0
FUE
14%
22%
64%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FUE
1 - 1
PNT
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 4
FUE
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 0
FUE
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |