Marino vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAR
16%
24%
60%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDG
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATB
0 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 3
RMC
26%
25%
49%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
COT
2 - 0
UDI
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
COT
5 - 1
SBA
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ARG
1 - 0
COT
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
COT
8 - 0
CFP
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
YAI
1 - 1
COT
44%
25%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |