Marinhense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
10º
4º
48
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 63% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
UDR
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAB
0 - 0
MAR
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
1DE
1 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
MOR
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
1DE
60%
21%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
USA
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
UDA
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
USA
50%
27%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USA
1 - 0
ALC
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |