Marinhense U19 vs Gouveia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
5º
4º
23
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
23 | 29 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 25 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 24 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 24 |
5º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 19 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 7 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
UDO
3 - 3
MAR
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPC
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
CON
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 1
MAR
44%
22%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BEI
18%
20%
62%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Gouveia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
SPC
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ASN
1 - 0
GOU
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 0
CON
52%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 3
BEI
22%
23%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACV
0 - 2
GOU
65%
18%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |