Marinhas vs Caçadores das Taipas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PON
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
RON
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MER
2 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
CER
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
JOA
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caçadores das Taipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
ESP
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAC
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 1
MEL
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |