Marinhas U19 vs Merelinense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
52.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
7º
4º
20
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 23 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAR
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
TRF
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
MAR
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
OSL
1 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 4
MER
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRF
1 - 3
MER
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
VAR
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |