4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Marina Atletico Club A A vs Daumar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marina Atletico Club A A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
DAC
3 - 0
MAR
34%
20%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CSC
0 - 6
MAR
8%
12%
80%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
SAN
35%
20%
45%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MAR
5 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VCA
1 - 2
MAR
5%
11%
84%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Daumar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
DAC
3 - 0
MAR
34%
20%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 5
DAC
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DAC
1 - 1
SBH
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LBN
2 - 3
DAC
29%
20%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
DAC
0 - 0
MNM
44%
20%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |