Marín CF vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marín CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
CUL
3 - 0
MAR
84%
12%
5%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 3
CDL
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CDV
2 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
USD
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
UDA
1 - 0
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
GON
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PON
2 - 0
CHO
18%
24%
58%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 0
RIB
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 1
CHO
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 0
MON
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |