Copa Paulista Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 1-6
Marília vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 3
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 5
NOR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
COM
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
BER
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAO
30%
27%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
3 - 2
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |