Marília vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
MAR
35%
24%
42%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 3
SAO
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 3
ITA
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
FLA
11%
19%
70%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |