Marignane vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
LYO
2 - 1
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 0
GFO
55%
24%
20%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LEP
0 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
GFO
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
LEP
0 - 2
SPO
44%
28%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
AND
0 - 0
SPO
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SPO
2 - 0
CAB
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |