Marignane vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAE
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AGD
0 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
OLY
2 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
LYO
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
HYE
0 - 0
SPO
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
SPO
5 - 3
SAI
60%
24%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MON
7 - 0
SPO
30%
28%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
CAB
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 1
GAZ
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |