Marignane vs Monaco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BEZ
0 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 3
LEP
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MON
2 - 3
NIC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 0
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
FCM
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAN
3 - 0
MON
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |