Marignane vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
MON
35%
28%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
GFO
0 - 2
MAR
43%
26%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
LEP
46%
27%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
AND
35%
28%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 1
GFO
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LEP
0 - 0
LYO
39%
28%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LYO
0 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AND
0 - 1
LYO
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LYO
2 - 0
CAB
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |