Marignane vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
38%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
FCM
1 - 1
MAR
62%
23%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
ALB
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
GAZ
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HYE
3 - 1
LES
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HYE
1 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
OLY
2 - 1
HYE
57%
25%
19%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HYE
0 - 0
FCM
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALB
1 - 0
HYE
43%
28%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |