Marignane vs Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
3 - 4
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
AND
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MON
2 - 2
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GAP
2 - 1
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
EPM
1 - 4
GAP
20%
25%
56%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
GAP
1 - 0
FRE
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
GAZ
1 - 0
GAP
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
GAP
3 - 0
SAE
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |