Marignane Gignac vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 3
MGG
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MGG
1 - 0
JUR
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUB
3 - 0
MGG
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MGG
0 - 1
MOA
25%
28%
47%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FRE
2 - 0
MGG
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
FCM
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
SPO
25%
27%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
3 - 0
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JUR
0 - 0
SPO
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
LYO
36%
27%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |