Marignane Gignac vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
MGG
22%
25%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MGG
1 - 1
GRA
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
STA
0 - 0
MGG
23%
25%
53%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MGG
1 - 0
FCM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 4
MGG
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
5 - 0
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SÈT
1 - 1
SPO
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 0
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
STA
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |