Marignane Gignac vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
7º
1º
51
1º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HYE
1 - 1
MGG
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MGG
1 - 1
AUX
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MGG
0 - 0
AUB
43%
28%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LYO
2 - 0
MGG
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MGG
2 - 0
SÈT
18%
25%
57%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COU
0 - 2
GRA
10%
20%
70%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
GRA
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
GRA
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 1
CSL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |