Marignane Gignac vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SAI
0 - 0
MGG
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MGG
2 - 0
RVA
50%
25%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
MGG
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MGG
1 - 1
FCM
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MGG
3 - 0
LYO
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAR
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 0
MOA
31%
29%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
JUR
1 - 0
FRE
34%
26%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 1
FRE
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 0
FRE
41%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |