Marignane Gignac U19 vs Bastia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
66.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
14º
7º
29
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
MGG
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MGG
3 - 0
AJA
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ETI
2 - 1
MGG
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MGG
3 - 1
AJA
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | +5 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NIC
2 - 2
MGG
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ROD
3 - 1
BAS
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 1
MON
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 2
BAS
13%
16%
70%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
ETI
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 0
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |