Marignane Gignac II vs Cassis-Carnoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
14º
14º
25
4º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAR
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 2
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
LUC
11%
17%
72%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
EUA
1 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cassis-Carnoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
IST
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
CAS
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
NIC
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
CAS
30%
25%
46%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAN
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |