Marignane Gignac II vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
14º
14º
36
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
4 - 3
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
CAS
16%
18%
65%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +5 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAR
12%
16%
72%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +5 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SCR
3 - 2
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 3
LUC
11%
17%
72%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
AJA
34%
27%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 1
LUC
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
EUA
0 - 2
AJA
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 1
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |