Marienlyst vs Varde IF Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
KER
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
OFA
1 - 2
MAR
55%
21%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAS
24%
22%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
MID
5 - 2
MAR
65%
19%
17%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
B19
2 - 1
MAR
26%
21%
53%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
3 - 2
AAR
29%
23%
49%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TAR
3 - 2
VAR
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
2 - 1
SYD
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 0
BOL
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
B19
4 - 1
VAR
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |