Marienlyst vs Fjordager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 0
HED
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
B19
1 - 4
MAR
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 0
AAR
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
HFS
3 - 2
MAR
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 2
MAR
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fjordager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OKS
5 - 1
FJO
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FJO
1 - 2
DAL
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TAR
4 - 0
FJO
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HED
1 - 1
FJO
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FJO
0 - 5
B19
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |