Marienlyst vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.4%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
82.9%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.4%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
NAS
5 - 3
MAR
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NAS
6 - 2
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
BRØ
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
BRØ
0 - 0
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
7 - 3
VIB
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
ESB
1 - 2
SON
32%
23%
46%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
VEJ
3 - 3
ESB
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
OBK
1 - 2
ESB
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
OBK
4 - 2
ESB
58%
21%
20%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
ESB
2 - 0
HVI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |