Marienlyst vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AKA
6 - 0
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MID
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HVI
5 - 1
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 3
THI
39%
24%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AAF
4 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AAF
1 - 1
LFA
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 2
AAF
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AAF
1 - 0
BRØ
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BFR
5 - 1
AAF
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AAF
4 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
39%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |