UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 2-0
Maribor vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLO
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
TNV
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
SHK
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NSM
1 - 3
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
TOR
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
OFC
1 - 2
SHA
28%
22%
50%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 2
SHA
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 0
VIT
59%
24%
16%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 0
SHA
24%
26%
51%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |