Maribor vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
6º
2º
43
6º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
CEL
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 0
RAD
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
NSM
1 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
NKN
1 - 1
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 5
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
DOM
1 - 1
NKP
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NKP
2 - 2
NKN
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
NKP
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
NKP
3 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |