Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 0-3
Maribor vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
GOR
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
SHF
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
RAD
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HJK
1 - 0
IFK
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
VKP
5 - 0
HJK
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ILV
1 - 2
HJK
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HJK
1 - 2
VKP
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HJK
3 - 1
VAA
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |