Mariano Calcio vs Casati Arcore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
MAR
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAP
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
OGG
1 - 0
MAR
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
PAI
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Casati Arcore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 2
BRU
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
REA
2 - 0
ACA
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 2
NIB
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAP
18%
21%
60%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |