Marianao Poblet vs Tàrrega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+720%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marianao Poblet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 0
FCM
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CFA
3 - 2
FCM
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FCM
0 - 1
UDT
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
FCM
3 - 1
FCM
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
FCM
1 - 3
IGU
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tàrrega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
CFV
43%
26%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 0
UDV
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
TAR
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 0
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
TAR
1 - 0
CEE
61%
21%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |