Marialvas vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marialvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOC
1 - 1
MAR
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 1
RIB
58%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
AGU
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
CAN
9%
18%
74%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VAL
8 - 0
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ANA
7 - 0
VCO
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUS
4 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
CAS
9%
17%
74%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |