Marialvas U15 vs Tondela U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
6º
6º
39
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marialvas U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 4
MRV
11%
16%
73%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GFN
1 - 1
MRV
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 1
MRV
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MRV
3 - 1
LEM
88%
9%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
MRV
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TON
1 - 1
ANA
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 3
TON
8%
13%
79%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 4
TON
10%
15%
76%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TON
0 - 0
GFN
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 3
TON
38%
22%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |