Maria da Fonte vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SMA
0 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ADO
0 - 0
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
BSC
43%
22%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VSC
4 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
BRA
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
UNM
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
PED
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 1
UNM
24%
23%
54%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 4
SMA
35%
27%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -3 |