Maria da Fonte vs Pedras Salgadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
13º
29
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
51% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRA
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 0
MAR
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 4
MER
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pedras Salgadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PED
2 - 0
BRI
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
PED
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PED
1 - 0
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PED
1 - 1
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
PED
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |