Margate vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
POT
1 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 4
BIS
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
KIN
2 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LEA
0 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 0
COR
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 2
CHI
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIN
68%
20%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 4
KIN
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BOG
4 - 2
WIN
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |