Margate vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LOW
3 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
CHE
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
KIN
2 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
CLE
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 1
CRA
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
ENF
0 - 3
WIN
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WIN
4 - 3
EAS
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
DAV
3 - 1
WIN
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 1
DAV
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |