Margate vs Folkestone Invicta analysis

Margate Folkestone Invicta
33 ELO 44
-4.4% Tilt -17.4%
7775º General ELO ranking 7520º
322º Country ELO ranking 304º
ELO win probability
21.1%
Margate
20.1%
Draw
58.8%
Folkestone Invicta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
Margate
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
58.8%
Win probability
Folkestone Invicta
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Margate
-1%
+8%
Folkestone Invicta

Points and table prediction

Margate
Their league position
Folkestone Invicta
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
17º
17º
60
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bishops Stortford
86
86
100%
AFC Hornchurch
82
82
100%
Canvey Island
82
82
100%
Aveley
76
76
100%
Cray Wanderers
74
74
100%
Lewes
72
72
100%
Enfield Town
70
70
100%
Horsham
70
70
100%
Hastings United
69
69
100%
Billericay Town
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Carshalton Athletic
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Folkestone Invicta
12º
60
60
12º
100%
Haringey Borough
14º
51
51
13º
0%
Potters Bar Town
13º
51
51
14º
0%
Bognor Regis Town
15º
50
50
15º
100%
Wingate & Finchley
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Margate
17º
45
45
17º
100%
Kingstonian
18º
40
40
18º
100%
Bowers and Pitsea
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Herne Bay
20º
34
34
20º
100%
Corinthian-Casuals
21º
27
27
21º
100%
Brightlingsea Regent
22º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Margate
Folkestone Invicta
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Margate
Folkestone Invicta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Margate
Margate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2023
HAR
Haringey Borough
1 - 0
Margate
MAR
58%
21%
21%
35 37 2 0
01 Apr. 2023
MAR
Margate
2 - 2
Lewes
LEW
17%
21%
62%
34 46 12 +1
25 Mar. 2023
HOR
AFC Hornchurch
2 - 3
Margate
MAR
85%
11%
4%
32 52 20 +2
18 Mar. 2023
MAR
Margate
0 - 1
Aveley
AVE
16%
22%
63%
33 47 14 -1
14 Mar. 2023
BOG
Bognor Regis Town
1 - 0
Margate
MAR
52%
23%
26%
34 33 1 -1

Matches

Folkestone Invicta
Folkestone Invicta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2023
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
0 - 0
Carshalton Athletic
CAR
61%
21%
17%
44 39 5 0
01 Apr. 2023
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
1 - 3
Kingstonian
KIN
82%
12%
6%
44 26 18 0
25 Mar. 2023
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
3 - 1
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
11%
16%
74%
45 27 18 -1
18 Mar. 2023
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
1 - 2
Lewes
LEW
48%
23%
29%
46 45 1 -1
11 Mar. 2023
AVE
Aveley
2 - 1
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
39%
24%
37%
47 46 1 -1