Margaritense vs Penya Arrabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Margaritense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 4
CFP
56%
23%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SHO
1 - 3
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
GEN
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
PLA
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
FRR
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
XIL
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
3 - 3
SHO
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
0 - 1
PEN
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 1
FRR
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |