Marek vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+69%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
2º
1º
17
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 15 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 14 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 13 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 12 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 11 |
8º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 11 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
6 - 0
SSO
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SOF
2 - 1
MAR
12%
19%
69%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
SLI
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 2
MAR
7%
17%
76%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 1
CSK
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LSO
2 - 1
SEP
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SEP
3 - 1
PIR
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIH
2 - 1
SEP
57%
22%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SEP
0 - 0
KOS
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |