Marek vs CSKA Sofia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
2º
1º
19
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 15 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 14 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 13 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 12 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 11 |
8º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 11 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
MAR
16%
23%
62%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIH
57%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
KOS
0 - 2
MAR
15%
22%
64%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
FKK
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
CSK
3 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
CSK
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SLI
2 - 0
CSK
14%
22%
63%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
CSK
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |