Marek vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
BDI
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
AKA
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
VID
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BVR
0 - 0
VIH
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
KOM
2 - 2
BVR
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BVR
1 - 1
RIL
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ETA
2 - 2
BVR
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BVR
0 - 2
PIR
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |