Marek vs Bdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
AKA
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
VID
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VIH
3 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
KOM
55%
23%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BDI
1 - 3
VIH
18%
26%
56%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
KOM
3 - 2
BDI
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BDI
1 - 1
RIL
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
BDI
0 - 0
BAL
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ETA
2 - 2
BDI
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |