Marconi Stallions vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SYD
2 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
BCL
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BLA
0 - 3
MAR
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
PNU
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 5
SUT
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SUT
2 - 2
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BCL
4 - 2
SUT
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SUT
0 - 0
BLA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -4 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
SUT
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |