Marconi Stallions vs Penrith Nepean United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 3
SYD
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SYD
3 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PNU
3 - 0
BCL
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PNU
4 - 1
BAB
19%
24%
58%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
PNU
0 - 2
SUT
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
WOL
0 - 0
PNU
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
SYD
2 - 0
PNU
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -3 |