Marconi Stallions vs Penrith Nepean United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SUT
2 - 4
MAR
13%
22%
64%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SYD
0 - 0
MAR
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 3
SYD
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -5 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
WOL
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
PNU
1 - 2
SYD
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SYD
1 - 6
PNU
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
PNU
19%
24%
58%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -4 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PNU
1 - 2
WOL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BCL
6 - 2
PNU
20%
24%
55%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -2 |