Marconi Stallions vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 5
API
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BON
4 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
PAE
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
STG
0 - 2
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 62 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
BLA
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
ROC
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
API
3 - 1
MAN
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 3
BON
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 3
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |